Politics 2024 General Election Thread

Started by Enigma, Apr 28, 2020, in Life Add to Reading List

Who did you/are you voting for?

Poll closed Nov 6, 2024.
  1. Kamala Harris

    27.3%
  2. Donald Trump

    20.0%
  3. Third Party

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. Abstaining

    9.1%
  5. Not a US Citizen, but would vote Democrat

    21.8%
  6. Not a US Citizen, but would vote Trump

    10.9%
  7. Not a US Citizen, but would vote third party or abstain

    10.9%
  1. albumdrill
    Posts: 3,015
    Likes: 4,895
    Joined: Oct 5, 2018

    albumdrill Gravy enema

    Nov 5, 2024
    I think Trump winning would be due to the whole political correctness/cancel culture movement going WAY to hard at the average person for miniscul stuff.
     
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    Apr 14, 2026
  2. albumdrill
    Posts: 3,015
    Likes: 4,895
    Joined: Oct 5, 2018

    albumdrill Gravy enema

    Nov 5, 2024
    Hope she makes an OF if she loses.
     
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    Ripper Roo likes this.
    Apr 14, 2026
  3. Enigma
    Posts: 15,311
    Likes: 17,905
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Nov 5, 2024
    The only pro of Trump winning + a GOP Congress would be if they nuke the filibuster lol.

    If I were Democrats in that scenario, I would actually help them do it.
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  4. Allis Mines
    Posts: 8,055
    Likes: 14,471
    Joined: Jul 5, 2016

    Nov 5, 2024
    Instead of first women prez you guys will have your first criminal prez.
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  5. JMG
    Posts: 16,252
    Likes: 39,130
    Joined: Dec 3, 2014

    JMG

    Nov 5, 2024
    Doesn't matter who wins in house or Senate. Half of them are about to be arrested. .
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  6. DKC
    Posts: 23,428
    Likes: 81,908
    Joined: Nov 23, 2014

    DKC shortygonletmecrush

    Nov 5, 2024
    bruh she very well might lose worse than Hillary :emoji_sob::emoji_sob::emoji_sob:

    gonna be razor thin if she pulls it off, like maybe exactly 270
     
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    Apr 14, 2026
  7. albumdrill
    Posts: 3,015
    Likes: 4,895
    Joined: Oct 5, 2018

    albumdrill Gravy enema

    Nov 6, 2024
    Bars
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  8. DiggleDogg69
    Posts: 5,320
    Likes: 15,363
    Joined: Dec 6, 2020

    DiggleDogg69 YOU SEEM PRETTY SAD FOR A GIRL SO IN LOVE

    Nov 6, 2024
    Arizona being as close as it is was not what I was expecting, I was thinking yesterday that Trump had that one secured
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  9. DiggleDogg69
    Posts: 5,320
    Likes: 15,363
    Joined: Dec 6, 2020

    DiggleDogg69 YOU SEEM PRETTY SAD FOR A GIRL SO IN LOVE

    Nov 6, 2024
    Trump having the current lead in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin is not good for Kamala though
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  10. Big Monkey
    Posts: 7,195
    Likes: 7,157
    Joined: May 17, 2022

    Nov 6, 2024
    Stop pretending you're not devastated when we all know you are. Oh and four more years AHAHAHAHa eat s--- etc
     
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    Apr 14, 2026
  11. Enigma
    Posts: 15,311
    Likes: 17,905
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Nov 6, 2024
    Devastated that my preferred candidate lost a 50/50 election? No lol.
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  12. Ripper Roo
    Posts: 29,800
    Likes: 60,380
    Joined: Oct 22, 2020

    Ripper Roo melancholy

    Nov 6, 2024
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  13. Big Monkey
    Posts: 7,195
    Likes: 7,157
    Joined: May 17, 2022

    Nov 6, 2024
    It's not nearly close enough to be 50/50. She's getting crushed. Smart people were saying Trump had an 85-90% chance. Only low info dimwits who stare at Twitter headlines all day like yourself thought it was 50/50. You lost boy, admit it.
     
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    Apr 14, 2026
  14. JMG
    Posts: 16,252
    Likes: 39,130
    Joined: Dec 3, 2014

    JMG

    Nov 6, 2024
    She will likely lose the popular vote too though. Are you in shock maybe?
     
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    Apr 14, 2026
  15. Big Monkey
    Posts: 7,195
    Likes: 7,157
    Joined: May 17, 2022

    Nov 6, 2024
    You could only follow this account on Twitter and still be better informed about politics than enigma :lmaooo:
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  16. Enigma
    Posts: 15,311
    Likes: 17,905
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Nov 6, 2024
    You don’t know the difference between probability of winning, median outcome, & mode. I literally said this yesterday lol:

    Not really. 538’s aggregate had the popular vote at Harris +1. Figured it’d be close.
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  17. Big Monkey
    Posts: 7,195
    Likes: 7,157
    Joined: May 17, 2022

    Nov 6, 2024
    After all these years you still don't understand what probability means in the context of predicting the outcome of a presidential election, where a prediction is only as good as the data used and the accuracy of its interpretation. Calling an election a "coin flip" as you did is just another way of saying you don't know. "90% chance" means you are quite sure of an outcome, and 95%+ means you are very sure. If your prediction doesn't pan out, that means you were wrong. There is no "muh probability" about it. That's just sophistry.

    This is a little different from what's meant by the 50/50 probability of a quarter landing on heads or tails, where the outcome is determined by the exact force used by the flipper, their muscle movements and chemical reactions in their brain and so on. Such factors are not predictable, and have nothing to do with the outcome of an election. There is no corresponding way for a country to hold an election which would yield a different result depending on how it's held, because it's done basically the same way every year.

    You're going to flunk your political science course at this rate.
     
    Last edited: Nov 6, 2024
    Apr 14, 2026
  18. Enigma
    Posts: 15,311
    Likes: 17,905
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Nov 6, 2024
    Nothing you said in this ramble has anything to do with political science.
     
    Apr 14, 2026
  19. JMG
    Posts: 16,252
    Likes: 39,130
    Joined: Dec 3, 2014

    JMG

    Nov 6, 2024
    Donald J Trump has officially won the election.
     
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  20. Big Monkey
    Posts: 7,195
    Likes: 7,157
    Joined: May 17, 2022

    Nov 6, 2024
    "This ramble"? Sorry that's not English.
     
    Apr 14, 2026