Politics 2024 General Election Thread

Started by Enigma, Apr 28, 2020, in Life Add to Reading List

Who did you/are you voting for?

Poll closed Nov 4, 2020.
  1. Joe Biden

    37.0%
  2. Donald Trump

    15.0%
  3. Third Party

    5.0%
  4. Abstaining

    4.0%
  5. Not a US Citizen, but would vote Biden

    22.0%
  6. Not a US Citizen, but would vote Trump

    9.0%
  7. Not a US Citizen, but would vote third party or abstain

    8.0%
  1. lil uzi vert stan
    Posts: 7,755
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    Jun 11, 2020
    stuff like this makes me nervous. lets not get cocky quite yet
     
    Mar 28, 2024
  2. Enigma
    Posts: 14,984
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jun 11, 2020
    Not getting cocky at all. It’s likely that this race tightens as we get closer to November, assuming no other huge worldly events take place (at this point, who knows though). Still a good reference point though to see how the election is shaping over time. I read through the methodology & right now, the model is weighing fundamentals more than polls. That’ll change once we get to late June.
     
    #82
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  3. Enigma
    Posts: 14,984
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jun 18, 2020


    FiveThirtyEight rolled out their polling averages today (not the same as their elect forecast which will come later). It shows Biden leading by 9 points nationally.
     
    #83
    0 0
    Mar 28, 2024
  4. M Solo
    Posts: 4,978
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    M Solo Fresh Outta London

    Jun 18, 2020
    Nate Silver is such a loser.

    Breaking news- Biden win possible. Also, Trump can win. Stay tuned for my next bold prediction!
     
    Mar 28, 2024
  5. Enigma
    Posts: 14,984
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jun 18, 2020
    Unfortunately he has to lay out the obvious because 2016 made it clear that people don’t know how probability works...at all. Not even like the basics.
     
    Mar 28, 2024
  6. Enigma
    Posts: 14,984
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jun 20, 2020


    A Republican incumbent President is hosting a half empty campaign rally in the state of *checks notes* OKLAHOMA. This is just embarrassing. I would not be surprised if Brad Parscale (Trump campaign manager) is gone tomorrow.
     
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  7. Michael Myers
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    Michael Myers Moderator

    Jun 21, 2020
    Ngl what those kids did was hilarious lol
     
    #87
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  8. Enigma
    Posts: 14,984
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jun 25, 2020


     
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  9. Enigma
    Posts: 14,984
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jun 29, 2020


    if Trump is still down ~10 points come like September/October, I wonder if he just quits campaigning.
     
    #89
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  10. M Solo
    Posts: 4,978
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    M Solo Fresh Outta London

    Jul 2, 2020
    Can @Enigma or anybody else please explain to be Biden's plan for student loans. The more I read about it the more confused I get. Is it wiping away all debt for those that make under 125k, wiping out just 10k for everyone or is it making so they can be discharged through bankruptcy. Thanks!
     
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  11. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jul 3, 2020
    My understanding: if you have undergraduate student loan debt from a public university & make under 125K, that debt will be forgiven.

    On top of that, he wants to allow people to discharge student loan debt in bankruptcy & expand student loan debt forgiveness programs. Debt forgiveness programs get kind of tricky because not everyone is eligible for each program. I know one program forgives student loans for public servants after 10 years. Another program forgives $5,000 per year for community service. His plan is very similar to Warren’s plan.
     
    #91
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  12. DKC
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    DKC hank trill

    Jul 3, 2020
    That's extremely dope if it actually will work like that. What kind of concessions do you think will have to be made if this goes through?
     
    #92
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  13. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jul 3, 2020
    Given a divided Congress, I think this is surprisingly workable. Republican probably would demand the 125K figure would have to come down & there may be some debate on bankruptcy but given the current state of the country, reliving debt for Americans I think is something both parties could see middle ground on.
     
    Mar 28, 2024
  14. Enigma
    Posts: 14,984
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jul 4, 2020


    meant to post this earlier but the fact that Fox News allowed Tucker Carlson to do this monologue speaks volumes about how scared Republican elites are right now. They’re down big in the 3rd quarter & they know it.
     
    #94
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  15. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jul 12, 2020


    So this is not good news for the Republican Party....
     
    #95
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  16. Sign Language
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    Sign Language We miss you Screw

    Jul 12, 2020
    I feel like this gets said every election cycle. Outside of the four major cities everyone is a diehard Republican. Trump wins Texas easily.
     
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  17. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jul 12, 2020
    People say this hypothetically because of the changing demographic landscapes in Texas. They’ll say Texas will turn purple because of the growing Latino population. This article isn’t talking about that. This is based on actual polling.

    29D1E8D0-5610-4FBA-BC5B-4A82143A46D0.png

    Biden is leading on polling averages in Texas right now by .1. A Democratic Presidential candidate should not be leading in Texas lol. Or anywhere close to leading. I’m not saying Biden will win Texas but right now, based on current polling, Texas is a close race between Trump/Biden. It’s basically a coin flip. If Texas is a close race come November, that’s *TERRIBLE* news for Republicans in terms of the rest of the country.
     
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  18. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jul 15, 2020


    I know a lot of people are drawing comparisons between 2016 & 2020 in terms of polling but these elections are really not the same at all.
     
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  19. M Solo
    Posts: 4,978
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    M Solo Fresh Outta London

    Jul 15, 2020


    Are people really thinking that way? This is entirely different. I was very vocal about Trump winning in 2015 and 2016 and I gave Trump 90/10 odds against Biden Pre-Covid. Now I give it to Biden 95/5. If this was a basketball game Biden has a 45 point lead at half time.
     
    #99
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  20. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Jul 15, 2020
    Yeah, I’m seeing a lot of [bad] 2016 comparisons on Twitter & stuff. Which I guess is warranted from trolls & stuff but even from the left. Even prior to COVID, Biden’s base of voters was notably different than what we saw from Hillary. Moderates like him a lot more. If I had to give a football analogy, I’d say Biden has a 17 point lead mid way through the 3rd quarter right now. Trump can comeback but the clock is winding down fast.
     
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