Politics The Official 2018 Midterm Election Thread

Started by Enigma, Aug 17, 2018, in Life Add to Reading List

  1. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 17, 2018
    The end of August is vastly approaching & with it nears probably the most talked about midterm election in recent U.S. History with huge implications on the line.

    Republicans currently control congress by a total of 26 seats (24 in the House & 2 in the Senate). Current political climate & polling favors Democrats giving them a roughly 3/4 chance of winning back the House. Thus, Republicans a 1/4 chance of maintaining their control of the House. (p.s. for people who don’t understand probability, a 25% chance doesn’t = 0%):



    Some of the most important races to be watching are these districts:



    There’s still like 3 months until Election Day so a lot can change between now & then. There’s also outside factors that can make an impact such as voter suppression:



    And just like in 2016, foreign interference:





    It’s going to be a h--- of an election cycle. We’re bound to get multiple bomb shell news stories before Election Day so prepare yourselves lol.
     
    Last edited: Sep 12, 2018
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  2. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 21, 2018
    There been some improvements to FiveThirtyEights model that improve Republican’s chances a bit:




    Rampant gerrymandering makes it a lot more difficult for Dems to take back control of Congress.
     
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  3. Sign Language
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    Sign Language We miss you Screw

    Aug 22, 2018
    [​IMG]
     
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  4. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 22, 2018
    Beto has a shot to finally knock off Ted Cruz. If he pulls this off, he’d be a great VP candidate for 2020.

    Harris/O’Rourke 2020

    :sweatt:

    Where do I sign up to volunteer? Lol
     
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  5. Sign Language
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    Aug 22, 2018
    I really hope he wins. I normally don’t vote for Democrats but on election day he is getting my vote. I want Ted Cruz gone, he is so full of s---.
     
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  6. reservoirGod
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    reservoirGod reckless adventurer.

    Aug 23, 2018
    Pretty funny how Cruz accused Beto of going by "Beto" to pretend he is someone he is not... meanwhile "Ted" is actually Rafael... a Hispanic man born in a different country.
     
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  7. Sign Language
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    Aug 27, 2018
    https://www.houstonchronicle.com/op...xas-criminal-justice-reform-jail-13181472.php

    I’m going to be very disappointed if he doesn’t win.
     
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  8. Lil Squeed
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    Lil Squeed French Montana Stan

    Aug 27, 2018
    I'm gonna Beto my meato tonight
     
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  9. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 28, 2018


    Dems winning the house is far from certain. This just goes to show how much of the popular vote Dems need to win in order to win the house. It’s not unlikely for dems to win the popular vote & republicans retain control of the house due to gerrymandering.
     
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  10. Sign Language
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    Aug 31, 2018
    If Democrats regain control of congress they better legalize marijuana.
     
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  11. Weirdogirl18
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    Aug 31, 2018
    How much stock should we put in generic ballot polling?
     
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  12. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 31, 2018


    538 published a good piece on your boy. It basically goes into the polling & while he def has a shot, it wouldn’t be a shock if Cruz ends up winning by double digits either.
     
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  13. Sign Language
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    Aug 31, 2018
    Yeah, Cruz winning is still the expected outcome for sure. I think that Beto can win if enough people actually get out and vote.
     
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  14. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 31, 2018
    That’s usually how it goes. If turnout is high, it’s a dem advantage. If turnout is low, it’s a rep advanrage. Like the article said, we could see a O’Rourke +5 win or a Cruz +11 win. It’s really still up in the air.
     
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  15. DKC
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    DKC hank trill

    Sep 1, 2018
    whats wrong with this guy tho
     
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  16. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 1, 2018
    There’s not one picture where ted cruz doesn’t look creepy. I’m absolutely certain.
     
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  17. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 8, 2018


    This video explains this phenomenon perfectly.
     
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  18. Alchemist34
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    Alchemist34 DO MY HEAD

    Sep 8, 2018
    remember that creepy a--- campaign ad where he looked like an alien trying to act human

     
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  19. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 8, 2018

    Lmfao I totally forgot about this. Whoever in his campaign that thought this would be a good idea, had to be trolling lol.
     
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  20. Enigma
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 12, 2018
    FiveThirtyEight’s senate model came out:



    Dems have a 1/3 chance of winning back the senate while Republicans have a 2/3 chance of retaining the senate.
     
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