Politics The Official 2018 Midterm Election Thread

Started by Enigma, Aug 17, 2018, in Life Add to Reading List

  1. Enigma
    Posts: 14,813
    Likes: 17,227
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 17, 2018
    The end of August is vastly approaching & with it nears probably the most talked about midterm election in recent U.S. History with huge implications on the line.

    Republicans currently control congress by a total of 26 seats (24 in the House & 2 in the Senate). Current political climate & polling favors Democrats giving them a roughly 3/4 chance of winning back the House. Thus, Republicans a 1/4 chance of maintaining their control of the House. (p.s. for people who don’t understand probability, a 25% chance doesn’t = 0%):



    Some of the most important races to be watching are these districts:



    There’s still like 3 months until Election Day so a lot can change between now & then. There’s also outside factors that can make an impact such as voter suppression:



    And just like in 2016, foreign interference:





    It’s going to be a h--- of an election cycle. We’re bound to get multiple bomb shell news stories before Election Day so prepare yourselves lol.
     
    Last edited: Sep 12, 2018
    #1
    2
    6ix9ineWithThe9 and Howie like this.
    2
    6ix9ineWithThe9 and Howie like this.
    Nov 27, 2022
  2. Enigma
    Posts: 14,813
    Likes: 17,227
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 21, 2018
    There been some improvements to FiveThirtyEights model that improve Republican’s chances a bit:




    Rampant gerrymandering makes it a lot more difficult for Dems to take back control of Congress.
     
    #2
    0 0
    Nov 27, 2022
  3. Sign Language
    Posts: 11,500
    Likes: 24,212
    Joined: Jan 2, 2015
    Location: Screwston

    Sign Language We miss you Screw

    Aug 22, 2018
    [​IMG]
     
    #3
    1
    Howie likes this.
    1
    Howie likes this.
    Nov 27, 2022
  4. Enigma
    Posts: 14,813
    Likes: 17,227
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 22, 2018
    Beto has a shot to finally knock off Ted Cruz. If he pulls this off, he’d be a great VP candidate for 2020.

    Harris/O’Rourke 2020

    :sweatt:

    Where do I sign up to volunteer? Lol
     
    Nov 27, 2022
  5. Sign Language
    Posts: 11,500
    Likes: 24,212
    Joined: Jan 2, 2015
    Location: Screwston

    Sign Language We miss you Screw

    Aug 22, 2018
    I really hope he wins. I normally don’t vote for Democrats but on election day he is getting my vote. I want Ted Cruz gone, he is so full of s---.
     
    #5
    0 0
    Nov 27, 2022
  6. reservoirGod
    Posts: 11,380
    Likes: 17,769
    Joined: Mar 7, 2011
    Location: Alaska

    reservoirGod reckless adventurer.

    Aug 23, 2018
    Pretty funny how Cruz accused Beto of going by "Beto" to pretend he is someone he is not... meanwhile "Ted" is actually Rafael... a Hispanic man born in a different country.
     
    #6
    6
    coop, Howie, Thili and 3 others like this.
    6
    coop, Howie, Thili and 3 others like this.
    Nov 27, 2022
  7. Sign Language
    Posts: 11,500
    Likes: 24,212
    Joined: Jan 2, 2015
    Location: Screwston

    Sign Language We miss you Screw

    Aug 27, 2018
    https://www.houstonchronicle.com/op...xas-criminal-justice-reform-jail-13181472.php

    I’m going to be very disappointed if he doesn’t win.
     
    #7
    0 0
    Nov 27, 2022
  8. Lil Squeed
    Posts: 24,182
    Likes: 57,501
    Joined: May 5, 2015

    Lil Squeed French Montana Stan

    Aug 27, 2018
    I'm gonna Beto my meato tonight
     
    #8
    1
    coop likes this.
    1
    coop likes this.
    Nov 27, 2022
  9. Enigma
    Posts: 14,813
    Likes: 17,227
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 28, 2018


    Dems winning the house is far from certain. This just goes to show how much of the popular vote Dems need to win in order to win the house. It’s not unlikely for dems to win the popular vote & republicans retain control of the house due to gerrymandering.
     
    #9
    0 0
    Nov 27, 2022
  10. Sign Language
    Posts: 11,500
    Likes: 24,212
    Joined: Jan 2, 2015
    Location: Screwston

    Sign Language We miss you Screw

    Aug 31, 2018
    If Democrats regain control of congress they better legalize marijuana.
     
    #10
    0 0
    Nov 27, 2022
  11. Weirdogirl18
    Posts: 25
    Likes: 29
    Joined: Aug 31, 2018

    Aug 31, 2018
    How much stock should we put in generic ballot polling?
     
    #11
    0 0
    Nov 27, 2022
  12. Enigma
    Posts: 14,813
    Likes: 17,227
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 31, 2018


    538 published a good piece on your boy. It basically goes into the polling & while he def has a shot, it wouldn’t be a shock if Cruz ends up winning by double digits either.
     
    #12
    1
    Sign Language likes this.
    1
    Sign Language likes this.
    Nov 27, 2022
  13. Sign Language
    Posts: 11,500
    Likes: 24,212
    Joined: Jan 2, 2015
    Location: Screwston

    Sign Language We miss you Screw

    Aug 31, 2018
    Yeah, Cruz winning is still the expected outcome for sure. I think that Beto can win if enough people actually get out and vote.
     
    #13
    1
    DKC likes this.
    1
    DKC likes this.
    Nov 27, 2022
  14. Enigma
    Posts: 14,813
    Likes: 17,227
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Aug 31, 2018
    That’s usually how it goes. If turnout is high, it’s a dem advantage. If turnout is low, it’s a rep advanrage. Like the article said, we could see a O’Rourke +5 win or a Cruz +11 win. It’s really still up in the air.
     
    #14
    2
    DKC and Sign Language like this.
    2
    DKC and Sign Language like this.
    Nov 27, 2022
  15. DKC
    Posts: 22,865
    Likes: 79,737
    Joined: Nov 23, 2014

    DKC hank trill

    Sep 1, 2018
    whats wrong with this guy tho
     
    Nov 27, 2022
  16. Enigma
    Posts: 14,813
    Likes: 17,227
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 1, 2018
    There’s not one picture where ted cruz doesn’t look creepy. I’m absolutely certain.
     
    #16
    2
    Sign Language and DKC like this.
    2
    Sign Language and DKC like this.
    Nov 27, 2022
  17. Enigma
    Posts: 14,813
    Likes: 17,227
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 8, 2018


    This video explains this phenomenon perfectly.
     
    #17
    0 0
    Nov 27, 2022
  18. Alchemist34
    Posts: 5,096
    Likes: 11,600
    Joined: Feb 22, 2011

    Alchemist34 DO MY HEAD

    Sep 8, 2018
    remember that creepy a--- campaign ad where he looked like an alien trying to act human

     
    #18
    2
    Sign Language and Enigma like this.
    2
    Sign Language and Enigma like this.
    Nov 27, 2022
  19. Enigma
    Posts: 14,813
    Likes: 17,227
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 8, 2018

    Lmfao I totally forgot about this. Whoever in his campaign that thought this would be a good idea, had to be trolling lol.
     
    #19
    1
    Sign Language likes this.
    1
    Sign Language likes this.
    Nov 27, 2022
  20. Enigma
    Posts: 14,813
    Likes: 17,227
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 12, 2018
    FiveThirtyEight’s senate model came out:



    Dems have a 1/3 chance of winning back the senate while Republicans have a 2/3 chance of retaining the senate.
     
    #20
    0 0
    Nov 27, 2022