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Politics The Official 2018 Midterm Election Thread

Started by Enigma, Aug 17, 2018, in Life

  1. Enigma
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    Enigma

    Aug 17, 2018 I got money changing hands like mega man's fist

    The end of August is vastly approaching & with it nears probably the most talked about midterm election in recent U.S. History with huge implications on the line.

    Republicans currently control congress by a total of 26 seats (24 in the House & 2 in the Senate). Current political climate & polling favors Democrats giving them a roughly 3/4 chance of winning back the House. Thus, Republicans a 1/4 chance of maintaining their control of the House. (p.s. for people who don’t understand probability, a 25% chance doesn’t = 0%):



    Some of the most important races to be watching are these districts:



    There’s still like 3 months until Election Day so a lot can change between now & then. There’s also outside factors that can make an impact such as voter suppression:



    And just like in 2016, foreign interference:





    It’s going to be a hell of an election cycle. We’re bound to get multiple bomb shell news stories before Election Day so prepare yourselves lol.
     
    Last edited: Sep 12, 2018
    #1 Enigma, Aug 17, 2018
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  2. Enigma
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    Enigma

    Aug 21, 2018 I got money changing hands like mega man's fist

    There been some improvements to FiveThirtyEights model that improve Republican’s chances a bit:




    Rampant gerrymandering makes it a lot more difficult for Dems to take back control of Congress.
     
    #2 Enigma, Aug 21, 2018
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  3. Sign Language
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    Sign Language

    Aug 22, 2018 Still Tippin

    [​IMG]
     
    #3 Sign Language, Aug 22, 2018
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  4. Enigma
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    Enigma

    Aug 22, 2018 I got money changing hands like mega man's fist

    Beto has a shot to finally knock off Ted Cruz. If he pulls this off, he’d be a great VP candidate for 2020.

    Harris/O’Rourke 2020

    :sweatt:

    Where do I sign up to volunteer? Lol
     
    #4 Enigma, Aug 22, 2018
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  5. Sign Language
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    Aug 22, 2018 Still Tippin

    I really hope he wins. I normally don’t vote for Democrats but on election day he is getting my vote. I want Ted Cruz gone, he is so full of shit.
     
    #5 Sign Language, Aug 22, 2018
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  6. reservoirGod
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    reservoirGod

    Aug 23, 2018 reckless adventurer.

    Pretty funny how Cruz accused Beto of going by "Beto" to pretend he is someone he is not... meanwhile "Ted" is actually Rafael... a Hispanic man born in a different country.
     
    #6 reservoirGod, Aug 23, 2018
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  7. Sign Language
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    Sign Language

    Aug 27, 2018 Still Tippin

    #7 Sign Language, Aug 27, 2018
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  8. Squiddie Redd
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    Squiddie Redd

    Aug 27, 2018 Oh Okay SOTY 2018

    I'm gonna Beto my meato tonight
     
    #8 Squiddie Redd, Aug 27, 2018
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  9. Enigma
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    Enigma

    Aug 28, 2018 I got money changing hands like mega man's fist



    Dems winning the house is far from certain. This just goes to show how much of the popular vote Dems need to win in order to win the house. It’s not unlikely for dems to win the popular vote & republicans retain control of the house due to gerrymandering.
     
    #9 Enigma, Aug 28, 2018
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  10. Sign Language
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    Aug 31, 2018 Still Tippin

    If Democrats regain control of congress they better legalize marijuana.
     
    #10 Sign Language, Aug 31, 2018
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  11. How much stock should we put in generic ballot polling?
     
    #11 Weirdogirl18, Aug 31, 2018
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  12. Enigma
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    Enigma

    Aug 31, 2018 I got money changing hands like mega man's fist



    538 published a good piece on your boy. It basically goes into the polling & while he def has a shot, it wouldn’t be a shock if Cruz ends up winning by double digits either.
     
    #12 Enigma, Aug 31, 2018
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  13. Sign Language
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    Aug 31, 2018 Still Tippin

    Yeah, Cruz winning is still the expected outcome for sure. I think that Beto can win if enough people actually get out and vote.
     
    #13 Sign Language, Aug 31, 2018
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  14. Enigma
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    Enigma

    Aug 31, 2018 I got money changing hands like mega man's fist

    That’s usually how it goes. If turnout is high, it’s a dem advantage. If turnout is low, it’s a rep advanrage. Like the article said, we could see a O’Rourke +5 win or a Cruz +11 win. It’s really still up in the air.
     
    #14 Enigma, Aug 31, 2018
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  15. Big Cuntry
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    Big Cuntry

    Sep 1, 2018 mike tyson's alias

    whats wrong with this guy tho
     
    #15 Big Cuntry, Sep 1, 2018
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  16. Enigma
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    Enigma

    Sep 1, 2018 I got money changing hands like mega man's fist

    There’s not one picture where ted cruz doesn’t look creepy. I’m absolutely certain.
     
    #16 Enigma, Sep 1, 2018
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  17. Enigma
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    Enigma

    Sep 8, 2018 I got money changing hands like mega man's fist



    This video explains this phenomenon perfectly.
     
    #17 Enigma, Sep 8, 2018
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  18. Alchemist34
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    Alchemist34

    Sep 8, 2018 DO MY HEAD

    remember that creepy ass campaign ad where he looked like an alien trying to act human

     
    #18 Alchemist34, Sep 8, 2018
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  19. Enigma
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    Enigma

    Sep 8, 2018 I got money changing hands like mega man's fist


    Lmfao I totally forgot about this. Whoever in his campaign that thought this would be a good idea, had to be trolling lol.
     
    #19 Enigma, Sep 8, 2018
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  20. Enigma
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    Enigma

    Sep 12, 2018 I got money changing hands like mega man's fist

    FiveThirtyEight’s senate model came out:



    Dems have a 1/3 chance of winning back the senate while Republicans have a 2/3 chance of retaining the senate.
     
    #20 Enigma, Sep 12, 2018
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